The UNEP released the Executive Summary of its 6th annual Emissions Gap Report. These track how far short the climate pledges are falling relative to the 2°C goal. Basically it says, many models say that the INDCs make the 2°C scenarios impossible to meet, and the other models say it’s possible with a massive cost increase. [Read more…]
About seven-in-ten Chinese (71%) support an international treaty to curtail emissions, yet just 18% of the public expresses intense concern about climate conditions. This is the lowest concern of any of the 18 countries surveyed. Since the Chinese contribution to the treaty is entirely focussed on reducing their horrendous local pollution from coal, it is not surprising the the treaty is so popular.
In contrast 45% of the US citizens express intense concern. Again the financial commitment to that concern was not measured. (Full article.)
“China is now leading the world when it comes to fighting climate change – handily beating the US’s efforts under Barack Obama,” said Figueres, according to the Guardian.
This is not just mean-spirited, but also highly misleading. Between 2000 and 2014 China increased its CO2 emissions 178% while the US decreased its emissions by 6%. China’s CO2 emissions per capita are triple (2.95) those of the US. And China is now causing [Read more…]
Today (2015/10/30) the UN released its report on the aggregate effect of INDCs. The findings are inconclusive, and not very optimistic, so the Newsroom did its best to spin them. For example, it reported:
One of the key findings is that the INDCs will bring global average emissions per capita down by as much as 8% in 2025 and 9% in by 2030.
But if the report says that those are changes starting in 1990, so the 8% and 9% are mainly not due to INDCs, but happened earlier. In fact, the improvement from 1990 until 2010 was 4% and from 2010 to 2030 was 5%. So it appears [Read more…]
Many news stories have reported that because of the climate pledges made for the Paris climate conference, the world will warm by 3°C instead of by 5°C. This comes from a report of the EU Commission. But that report does not say 5°C, it says 3.8 – 4.7°C, which is 4.25°C on average. But even this value is too high.
This high starting value is what would happen with “No Policy.” That means incentives for renewables or energy conservation. But consider China. They have said that without any consideration of climate they would have done exactly the same [Read more…]
The 5 October version of the text is available here.
The text mentions that financing could be more than the $100 billion per year already promised by 2020, coming from both public and private sources.
Countries would be required to communicate their emissions goals every five years, a process seen as crucial to implementing an agreement. [Read more…]
In an interview with CBS News, 2 October 2015, Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC, said
Today China removed “Under the Dome” an anti-smog video that is described as equivalent to Al Gore’s film “An Inconvenient Truth.” (view it here) In fact the parallel runs deeper than you might think. As explained here China’s pledge to limit carbon emissions by 2030, which will be its pledge under the Paris Climate Agreement, is actually nothing more than a domestic anti-smog policy. [Read more…]
After meeting with US Pres. Obama, Prime Minister Modi of India signaled a move away from India’s “historical responsibility” argument and toward joining an international deal on global warming at the Paris conference in December. Specifically he suggested India would pledge to use more renewable energy. [Read more…]